Ingolstadt 04 vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
STP
2 - 0
ING
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ING
0 - 1
OSN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MUN
1 - 1
ING
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ING
0 - 0
ERZ
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FCU
1 - 1
ING
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 0
AAA
38%
27%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
FSV
0 - 2
ERZ
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ERZ
0 - 2
HER
22%
26%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ING
0 - 0
ERZ
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 2
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |