Ingolstadt 04 vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
1 - 2
ING
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ING
1 - 0
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 1
ING
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ING
1 - 0
ANS
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
WEI
0 - 2
ING
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 1
JRE
28%
25%
48%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TSV
0 - 3
BAD
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 6
UNT
24%
25%
52%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
2 - 2
WOL
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
BAD
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |