Ingolstadt 04 vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
OSN
1 - 0
ING
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
ING
0 - 0
AAA
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
KAI
2 - 0
ING
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
ING
0 - 0
ROT
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SGF
6 - 1
ING
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MUN
5 - 1
STP
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
4 - 1
MUN
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 1
RWA
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
M05
2 - 2
MUN
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MUN
0 - 2
SCF
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |