Imabari vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Imabari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
FCI
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FKU
1 - 2
FCI
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
DSH
5 - 2
FCI
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 13 | 37 | -3 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOK
1 - 1
MAC
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 3
OIT
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 2
KAT
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MAT
3 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |