Igea Virtus vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ACI
1 - 0
FCI
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FCI
2 - 1
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
FCI
4 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 2
FCI
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
FCI
9 - 0
USV
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CCI
1 - 1
PAL
26%
22%
53%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
USV
3 - 4
CCI
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CCI
1 - 1
AEE
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
CCI
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CCI
1 - 0
MES
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +3 |