Igea Virtus vs Locri 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
FCI
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 2
ACI
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
FCI
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 3
TUR
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
FCI
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LOC
1 - 2
USC
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 4
TUR
29%
23%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
LOC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 2
CCI
57%
20%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOC
48%
23%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |