FC Hörbranz vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
44.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
14º
14º
44
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hörbranz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RTB
3 - 0
FCH
49%
22%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 2
FCH
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 3
AND
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 3
FCH
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 3
ADM
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 1
LUS
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AND
0 - 2
HAR
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 0
ALB
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ADM
5 - 1
HAR
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 3
NEN
38%
22%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |