FC Honka vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
11º
4º
36
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
HON
5 - 1
HOA
76%
16%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ILV
1 - 1
HON
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
HON
2 - 1
IFK
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
HON
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
HON
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 0
VAA
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
VAA
0 - 2
KUO
20%
27%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
SEI
2 - 1
VAA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KOO
1 - 0
VAA
28%
24%
47%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
VAA
3 - 1
OTP
79%
13%
7%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |