FC Honka vs IFK Mariehamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
11º
4º
15
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 54 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 46 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 42 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
68.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 29 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
10º
|
40.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
12º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
INT
2 - 0
HON
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 1
HON
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
HON
0 - 1
KOO
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 3
HON
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HON
0 - 1
KUO
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Mariehamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OUL
3 - 2
IFK
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 7
IFK
6%
13%
81%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 0
HJK
18%
25%
58%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
INT
1 - 1
IFK
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
PPJ
0 - 3
IFK
10%
15%
75%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |