FC Holzhausen vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+127%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
17º
16º
57
5º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
59% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
41% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Holzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
FCH
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 1
FRE
7%
14%
79%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 0
FCH
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 3
FRE
21%
18%
61%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCH
2 - 1
SGS
32%
22%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 3
AST
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOT
5 - 1
REU
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
GOP
3 - 2
NOT
53%
22%
26%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 2
1FC
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 3
NOT
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |