FC Holzhausen vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
17º
16º
48
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
59% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
41% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Holzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
NOT
5 - 1
FCH
73%
14%
13%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SGS
3 - 0
FCH
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 1
BIS
37%
21%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 4
FCH
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 2
VFR
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
REU
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 1
NOR
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 0
SGS
26%
22%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +4 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 3
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 0
DEN
56%
21%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |