FC Kryvbas vs Polissya Zhytomyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
4º
27
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 31 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
29.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kryvbas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 1
HKR
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
HKR
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 1
RYV
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
HKR
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HKR
3 - 1
LNZ
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
ZOR
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DYN
2 - 1
POL
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 0
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
HKR
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
KOL
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |