FC Kryvbas vs Oleksandriya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
10º
4º
38
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 31 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3% | 8.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
29.5% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Kryvbas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 1
VOR
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
HKR
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BET
3 - 0
HKR
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 1
INH
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HKR
0 - 2
BET
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
LIV
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 0
PFC
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 1
KOL
63%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PFC
4 - 3
SHA
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 2
PFC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |