Herzogenbuchsee vs United Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
71.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herzogenbuchsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
SEE
4 - 0
FCH
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCH
0 - 3
FCT
12%
20%
68%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
AAR
0 - 1
FCH
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCH
1 - 2
KUS
10%
16%
74%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
UST
2 - 0
FCH
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
United Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
UZU
5 - 0
WOH
52%
22%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UZU
0 - 1
SEE
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
KUS
0 - 2
UZU
26%
22%
51%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FCT
3 - 2
UZU
61%
21%
19%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
UZU
1 - 1
AAR
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |