Herzogenbuchsee vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.5%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
82.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.5%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herzogenbuchsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
UZW
3 - 1
FCH
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
FCH
3 - 1
BAZ
14%
21%
66%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +3 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 0
FCH
92%
7%
2%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FCH
0 - 2
FRA
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
EIN
1 - 0
FCH
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCA
13%
20%
66%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 0
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BAD
1 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
LUG
3 - 2
BEL
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |