Hermagor vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermagor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
MSA
0 - 3
FCH
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 5
SPI
16%
21%
63%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
VEI
3 - 0
FCH
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 1
BLE
18%
21%
60%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WAC
1 - 0
FCH
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
FLC
0 - 1
WOL
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 2
FLC
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEN
3 - 0
FLC
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
FLC
1 - 2
MSA
49%
22%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
SPI
2 - 2
FLC
71%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |