Hermagor vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermagor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WAC
1 - 0
FCH
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 1
VOL
23%
23%
55%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 0
FCH
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FCH
0 - 1
RAP
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EAC
0 - 0
FCH
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BLE
2 - 0
WOL
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 2
BLE
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BLE
2 - 2
FLC
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MSA
2 - 3
BLE
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BLE
2 - 2
SPI
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |