FC Hegelmann II vs Minija Kretinga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+351%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
16º
12º
31
5º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
GKA
2 - 0
FHL
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
FHL
0 - 2
FKE
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BFA
3 - 2
FHL
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
FHL
4 - 0
SIA
27%
23%
51%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +4 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 2
FHL
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Minija Kretinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
MIN
56%
25%
20%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 0
NEV
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NEP
1 - 1
MIN
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 4
BAB
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GKA
4 - 2
MIN
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |