FC Hegelmann II vs FK Tauras Taurage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+351%
+110%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
16º
12º
47
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Hegelmann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 0
FHL
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 67 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 0
FHL
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FHL
1 - 0
PAN
14%
19%
68%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +5 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FHL
1 - 0
NEV
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
NEP
5 - 0
FHL
70%
19%
11%
|
21 | 63 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tauras Taurage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
7 - 1
FKE
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
TRA
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 0
MIN
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
4 - 0
BFA
31%
23%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
FKT
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |