FC La Habana vs Holguín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
4º
3º
19
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC La Habana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
FCL
35%
28%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 0
FCL
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 0
CIE
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
4 - 0
ISL
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Holguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 1
CIE
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 1
MAT
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOL
60%
25%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
HOL
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
HOL
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |