FC Gueugnon vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
PSG
1 - 1
FCG
78%
16%
6%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
NIO
1 - 0
FCG
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
FCG
1 - 0
NIC
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
FCG
2 - 0
ASN
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
FCM
3 - 0
FCG
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
SOC
2 - 1
VAL
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 1
CHA
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
VAL
1 - 3
NIO
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
RED
1 - 0
VAL
62%
23%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAR
13%
24%
64%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |