FC Gueugnon vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
NIO
1 - 0
FCG
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1997 |
FCG
2 - 1
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1997 |
ESW
1 - 0
FCG
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1997 |
FCG
3 - 2
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
FCG
0 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
SPO
2 - 1
TRO
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1997 |
RED
3 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1997 |
SPO
0 - 1
NÎM
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1997 |
FCM
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
LMU
5 - 0
SPO
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |