FC Gueugnon vs Neuilly Sur Marne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
49.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
9º
14º
14º
20
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 60 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 42 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 31 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 24 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SML
1 - 0
FCG
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 5
RAC
5%
13%
82%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DIJ
0 - 0
FCG
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 0
ASP
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 3
SOC
4%
12%
85%
|
23 | 71 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Neuilly Sur Marne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 1
NEU
71%
17%
11%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NEU
2 - 2
ASP
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
YZE
1 - 1
NEU
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
IVR
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 3
NEU
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | 0 |