FC Gueugnon vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SEL
0 - 0
FCG
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FCG
4 - 1
BRC
28%
26%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FCG
2 - 1
CLE
30%
26%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 1
FCG
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAI
2 - 0
FCG
58%
24%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAE
0 - 0
THI
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SEN
0 - 1
SAE
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAE
3 - 0
BFC
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DIJ
3 - 1
SAE
38%
27%
35%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -3 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAE
1 - 4
AND
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |