FC Gueugnon vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
FCM
3 - 0
FCG
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1995 |
FCG
0 - 0
AUX
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
REN
2 - 1
FCG
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
FCG
0 - 1
STR
20%
27%
53%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1995 |
LYO
0 - 0
FCG
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
ASN
1 - 1
CSL
64%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
SPI
2 - 2
ASN
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
ASN
3 - 0
LMU
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1995 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
ASN
3 - 0
CHA
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |