FC Gueugnon vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
13º
12º
6
6º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 42.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
FCG
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCG
0 - 1
STG
11%
23%
66%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
FCG
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 2
CSL
17%
20%
64%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
FCG
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IVR
2 - 0
STG
12%
23%
65%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 5
IVR
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
IVR
1 - 2
SML
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
IVR
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
IVR
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |