FC Gueugnon vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 1
ASS
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
LHA
5 - 0
FCG
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
FCG
0 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 2
NIO
45%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
IST
2 - 1
FCG
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
BAS
0 - 0
LYO
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
STR
4 - 2
BAS
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 2
REN
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
GIR
1 - 1
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 3
NAN
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |