Groningen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 2
GRO
73%
15%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 3
VOL
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
MVV
0 - 0
GRO
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
GRO
2 - 2
FCB
58%
20%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
GRO
1 - 2
ENS
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 1
DWS
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 4
WIL
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
WIL
2 - 1
VVD
37%
23%
40%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1961 |
SPA
4 - 2
WIL
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
VVD
5 - 0
WIL
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |