Groningen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
FEY
2 - 1
GRO
71%
16%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
GRO
1 - 2
ELI
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
GRO
0 - 0
MVV
65%
17%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
EIN
1 - 1
GRO
27%
22%
51%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
GRO
1 - 1
DWS
65%
17%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
WIL
0 - 0
SPA
58%
19%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
NAC
2 - 1
WIL
60%
19%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
AJA
5 - 0
WIL
71%
16%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
WIL
2 - 3
VVD
46%
21%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
VVV
3 - 1
WIL
47%
21%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |