Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
15º
15º
20
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 40 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NEC
6 - 0
GRO
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
VVK
1 - 5
GRO
5%
12%
84%
|
81 | 33 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 1
UTR
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
VKG
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 4
UTR
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
USV
1 - 6
SPA
18%
20%
62%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
SPA
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
ALM
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |