Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1991 |
UTR
4 - 0
GRO
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1991 |
GRO
2 - 0
ADO
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
GRO
1 - 0
VOL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
RJC
0 - 0
GRO
41%
28%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
FEY
2 - 0
GRO
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1991 |
NEC
1 - 3
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1991 |
FOR
3 - 1
NEC
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
88%
9%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1991 |
NEC
0 - 2
WIL
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
VIT
0 - 0
NEC
68%
22%
10%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |