Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRO
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
MVV
0 - 0
GRO
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
AJA
1 - 0
GRO
90%
7%
3%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
3 - 1
FEY
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
NEC
1 - 2
BOS
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 2
HFC
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 0
NEC
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |