Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
HFC
1 - 2
GRO
62%
21%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
UTR
1 - 0
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1981 |
GRO
2 - 2
RJC
48%
24%
27%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
GRO
2 - 2
GAE
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
PSV
2 - 0
GRO
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 1
ADO
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 3
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
NEC
2 - 1
TWE
14%
24%
62%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NEC
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
NEC
0 - 4
WIL
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |