Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
FEY
3 - 0
GRO
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
GRO
1 - 2
AJA
19%
25%
57%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRO
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
GRO
3 - 1
SPA
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
NEC
2 - 4
SPA
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
NEC
1 - 0
AZA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
FEY
1 - 0
NEC
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1969 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
NEC
2 - 0
TWE
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |