Groningen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
GRO
4 - 0
UTR
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
UTR
3 - 3
GRO
37%
25%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 1
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRO
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
FEY
0 - 4
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 2
FEY
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRA
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |