Groningen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 1
RJC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 1
EXC
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SCH
4 - 2
GRO
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 2
GRO
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
PSV
3 - 0
NAC
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
GRO
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
UTR
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
RKC
0 - 1
NAC
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 2
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |