Groningen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
4 - 0
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
MVV
3 - 1
GRO
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
GRO
4 - 2
ADO
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
AJA
6 - 1
GRO
89%
7%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
GRO
3 - 2
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
5 - 0
ADO
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
5 - 1
GRA
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 1
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
NAC
4 - 0
ZWO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |