Groningen vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
TSV
3 - 2
GRO
53%
20%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
GRO
1 - 1
AJA
41%
22%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
VVD
7 - 1
GRO
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
GRO
0 - 1
VVV
65%
18%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
GRO
2 - 0
FOR
48%
21%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
NAC
3 - 4
SPA
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
DWS
0 - 1
NAC
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
TSV
2 - 1
NAC
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
44%
22%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
NAC
4 - 4
VVD
49%
21%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |