Groningen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 0
UTR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 0
GRO
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 3
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PSV
6 - 1
GRO
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 1
VVV
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
VIT
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
ADO
2 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
HER
7 - 0
VVV
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |