Groningen vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VVV
2 - 5
GRO
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 1
AZA
32%
24%
44%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRO
35%
26%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
RJC
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
FEY
1 - 1
GRO
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
HFC
1 - 5
HER
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
HER
3 - 3
FEY
17%
22%
62%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
HER
2 - 2
SCH
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 1
HER
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
HER
0 - 2
NEC
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |