Groningen vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
15º
14º
26
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 60 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 40 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 38 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
58% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 22 |
18º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
6.5% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GAE
2 - 1
GRO
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 0
ALM
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ELV
2 - 1
GRO
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
AZA
3 - 1
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TWE
2 - 0
GRO
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SCH
0 - 2
AJA
23%
22%
56%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
QUI
3 - 2
SCH
32%
23%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 4
SCH
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
WEH
1 - 0
SCH
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2025 |
PAD
1 - 1
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |