Groningen vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 3
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
ZWO
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 1
GRO
29%
24%
48%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
TEL
1 - 3
TWE
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
FCD
0 - 2
TWE
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TWE
1 - 2
FCO
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
TWE
3 - 1
RJC
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
HEL
2 - 2
TWE
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |