Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
VIT
0 - 0
GRO
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRO
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
RBC
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
4 - 1
GRO
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZWO
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 6
FEY
23%
23%
54%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 3
UTR
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |