Groningen vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
GRO
1 - 1
UTR
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1980 |
PSV
5 - 0
GRO
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
GRO
3 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
GRO
3 - 2
RJC
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1980 |
GAE
2 - 0
GRO
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
SPA
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
17%
23%
59%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
WAG
53%
23%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
RJC
1 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |