Groningen vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 2
GRO
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 0
PSV
14%
20%
67%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 1
AZA
22%
24%
55%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TWE
5 - 0
GRO
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
GRO
16%
20%
65%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 1
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GVV
4 - 0
CAP
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 2
ONS
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAP
2 - 0
KAT
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CAP
1 - 0
ALM
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |