Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
MVV
3 - 0
GRO
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
GRO
1 - 4
SPA
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRO
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
GRO
1 - 2
ADO
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
BOS
1 - 1
GRO
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
AZA
0 - 2
FEY
13%
20%
68%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
NEC
3 - 2
AZA
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
AZA
2 - 1
PSV
22%
29%
50%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
GAE
1 - 2
AZA
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
AZA
1 - 4
AMS
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |