Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
6 - 0
GRO
89%
8%
3%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
MVV
0 - 0
GRO
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
GRO
1 - 2
FEY
20%
26%
55%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
GRO
2 - 2
DWS
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 1
ADO
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
PSV
2 - 1
AZA
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 0
DWS
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
AZA
3 - 0
NEC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
MVV
1 - 0
AZA
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |