Groningen vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
GRO
4 - 0
RAP
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
MVV
4 - 3
GRO
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
GRO
3 - 0
TSV
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
VVD
7 - 2
GRO
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
GRO
2 - 4
DWS
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
AZA
1 - 2
PSV
38%
23%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
FEY
6 - 0
AZA
85%
9%
6%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
AZA
2 - 4
VVV
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 1
AZA
58%
20%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
AZA
0 - 0
MVV
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |