FC Grenchen vs Regensdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
13º
13º
19
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DIE
5 - 1
FCG
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 0
PRA
59%
19%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OLD
5 - 2
FCG
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 1
FCU
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 3
FCG
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Regensdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
REG
4 - 4
LIE
9%
13%
78%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BIN
2 - 1
REG
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
REG
1 - 3
MUT
14%
16%
70%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BUB
4 - 3
REG
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
REG
0 - 0
ZOF
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |