FC Grenchen vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1992 |
FCG
2 - 1
FCL
25%
27%
49%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1992 |
CHI
3 - 0
FCG
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1992 |
FCG
4 - 2
SCH
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 May. 1992 |
BUL
2 - 0
FCG
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
LAC
3 - 1
FCG
55%
21%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1978 |
ETO
1 - 2
YOB
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
STG
0 - 0
ETO
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
CSC
1 - 2
ETO
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ETO
1 - 0
YFJ
79%
13%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
NEX
1 - 1
ETO
74%
18%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |